Sport Picks
Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio da Luz, Lisbon 
AI Match Summary
Benfica host Vitoria Guimaraes in the Liga Portugal. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Vitoria Guimaraes have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Benfica have conceded 0.97 and scored 2.62. Past meetings favor Benfica slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.19 - 0.81) back Benfica to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 10-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes on wins alone.
- Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Benfica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Vitoria Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 24 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 100% of their last 34 outings.
Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Benfica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home)Vitoria Guimaraes
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
