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Benicarlo vs Vilamarxant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Benicarlo and Vilamarxant finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benicarlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Benicarlo
30%
Draws
12%
Vilamarxant
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benicarlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benicarlo come out ahead of Vilamarxant on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Benicarlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Benicarlo Clean Sheet 20%
Vilamarxant Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benicarlo Vilamarxant
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 14 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.86 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Benicarlo
1:1
Dec 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benicarlo vs Vilamarxant
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benicarlo 85 / 100
Vilamarxant 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benicarlo Vilamarxant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benicarlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilamarxant let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Benicarlo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Vilamarxant has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benicarlo VS Vilamarxant
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benicarlo

(Home)
06 Jun
Crevillente
2 : 1
Benicarlo
30 May
Benicarlo
0 : 1
Hercules B
23 May
Villajoyosa
1 : 1
Benicarlo
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
02 May
Benicarlo
0 : 0
Crevillente
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Vilamarxant

(Away)
04 Jun
Hercules B
5 : 0
Vilamarxant
30 May
Vilamarxant
0 : 4
Villajoyosa
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
09 May
Crevillente
1 : 0
Vilamarxant
01 May
Vilamarxant
0 : 0
Hercules B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alzira 20 10 8 2 29:12 38
2 Roda 20 9 8 3 28:16 35
3 Atletico Saguntino 20 7 10 3 30:27 31
4 Villarreal C 20 6 12 2 32:18 30
5 Silla CF 20 5 10 5 20:21 25
6 Recambios Colon 20 5 8 7 16:19 23
7 Benicarlo 20 4 10 6 22:21 22
8 Torrent 20 4 9 7 17:25 21
9 Acero 20 4 8 8 18:25 20
10 Paterna 20 3 11 6 14:25 20
11 Vilamarxant 20 3 6 11 13:30 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 18 12 5 1 30:11 41
2 Ilicitano 18 11 5 2 33:17 38
3 CF Intercity 18 10 7 1 30:8 37
4 Olimpic Xativa 18 7 4 7 22:24 25
5 UD Beniganim 18 5 5 8 14:30 20
6 Espanol de San Vicente 18 5 4 9 17:23 19
7 Crevillente 18 5 4 9 17:24 19
8 Hercules B 18 4 6 8 13:17 18
9 Villajoyosa 18 4 5 9 17:27 17
10 Novelda CF 18 3 3 12 15:27 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)