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Benin vs Sierra Leone

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Buya Turay M.
90' Event
Hountondji C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Benin
20%
Draws
22%
Sierra Leone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sierra Leone haven't matched Benin's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Benin taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Benin Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Sierra Leone
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.96 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Friendly International
Benin vs Sierra Leone
1:1
Jun 15, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone vs Benin
1:0
Nov 17, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Benin vs Sierra Leone
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Hountondji C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Buya Turay M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 42 / 100
Sierra Leone 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Sierra Leone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Sierra Leone conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Benin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sierra Leone's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Sierra Leone
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
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Sierra Leone

(Away)
28 Sept
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0
Sierra Leone
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3
Zimbabwe
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
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