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Benin vs Togo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kloukpo K.
90' Event
Ramzy A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Benin
30%
Draws
47%
Togo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benin lately — more wins on the board than Togo.
  • Win probability leans Togo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Benin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Benin Clean Sheet 18%
Togo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Togo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Togo vs Benin
5:1
Nov 2, 2024 African Nations Championship
Benin vs Togo
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 African Nations Championship
Togo vs Benin
2:0
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
Togo vs Benin
1:1
Jan 12, 2021 Friendly International
Benin vs Togo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramzy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kloukpo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 10 / 100
Togo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Togo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Togo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Benin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Togo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
06 Oct
Argentina
3 : 0
Benin
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
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Togo

(Away)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Togo
1 : 0
Burundi
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6