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Benkovski vs Septemvri Tervel

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Benkovski and Septemvri Tervel finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Benkovski
30%
Draws
43%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Tervel come out ahead of Benkovski on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Tervel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Septemvri Tervel have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Benkovski Clean Sheet 14%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benkovski Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 2.07 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Septemvri Tervel
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Benkovski
4:1
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Septemvri Tervel
2:4
Oct 16, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Benkovski
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Benkovski
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benkovski 23 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benkovski Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benkovski scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Benkovski went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Tervel conceded in 44% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Benkovski VS Septemvri Tervel
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benkovski

(Home)
04 Oct
Benkovski
0 : 3
Akademik Svishtov
26 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
1 : 1
Benkovski
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)