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Benkovski vs Ustrem Donchevo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benkovski host Ustrem Donchevo in the Third League - North-East. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ustrem Donchevo have shipped 2.32 goals a game lately, while Benkovski have conceded 1.25 and scored 2.07. Head-to-head, Benkovski have won 1 to Ustrem Donchevo's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.31 - 1.63) back Benkovski to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benkovski
15%
Draws
0%
Ustrem Donchevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benkovski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benkovski lately — more wins on the board than Ustrem Donchevo.
  • Win probability leans Benkovski's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Benkovski Clean Sheet 14%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benkovski Ustrem Donchevo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.07 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski
4:1
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Ustrem Donchevo
0:0
May 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benkovski 84 / 100
Ustrem Donchevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benkovski Ustrem Donchevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benkovski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benkovski found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Ustrem Donchevo has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ustrem Donchevo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benkovski VS Ustrem Donchevo
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Benkovski

(Home)
12 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 1
Benkovski
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
30 Aug
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Benkovski
30 May
Benkovski
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2
Benkovski
Page 1 of 6

Ustrem Donchevo

(Away)
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volov Shumen 5 4 1 0 19:3 13
2 Svetkavitsa 2014 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
3 Ludogorets III 5 3 1 1 13:4 10
4 Chernomorets Balchik 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
5 FK Riltzi 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Chernolomets 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 Benkovski 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
8 Botev Novi Pazar 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Septemvri Dragoevo 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
10 Cherno More II 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 Olympic Varna 5 2 0 3 13:16 6
12 Septemvri Tervel 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
13 Devnya 2005 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
14 Aksakovo 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
15 Fratria II 5 0 1 4 4:21 1
16 Ustrem Donchevo 5 0 0 5 9:20 0
17 Dorostol 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
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