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Bentleigh Greens vs Altona Magic

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kelaart O.

AI Match Summary

Altona Magic in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altona Magic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bentleigh Greens
35%
Draws
32%
Altona Magic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bentleigh Greens have won more games recently than Altona Magic.
  • Win probability leans Bentleigh Greens's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Altona Magic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 15%
Altona Magic Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Altona Magic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Altona Magic
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Bentleigh Greens
0:2
Aug 12, 2023 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Bentleigh Greens
1:0
May 6, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Altona Magic
1:2
Jul 30, 2022 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Bentleigh Greens
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Altona Magic Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelaart O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 57 / 100
Altona Magic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Altona Magic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bentleigh Greens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Altona Magic conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bentleigh Greens has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bentleigh Greens scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bentleigh Greens VS Altona Magic
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bentleigh Greens

(Home)
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6
Bentleigh Greens
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0
Oakleigh Cannons
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
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Altona Magic

(Away)
29 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 1
Altona Magic
22 Aug
Altona Magic
0 : 2
Avondale FC
14 Aug
Dandenong City SC
2 : 0
Altona Magic
01 Aug
Altona Magic
1 : 1
George Cross
25 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 2
Altona Magic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)