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Bentleigh Greens vs Altona Magic

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bentleigh Greens play Altona Magic in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Altona Magic averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Bentleigh Greens won 1, Altona Magic won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.31 for Altona Magic. This points to a Bentleigh Greens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bentleigh Greens
15%
Draws
38%
Altona Magic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bentleigh Greens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Bentleigh Greens picked up more points recently compared to Altona Magic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Altona Magic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Altona Magic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Altona Magic
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Bentleigh Greens
0:2
Aug 12, 2023 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Bentleigh Greens
1:0
May 6, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Altona Magic
1:2
Jul 30, 2022 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Bentleigh Greens
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Altona Magic Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelaart O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 44 / 100
Altona Magic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Altona Magic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bentleigh Greens or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bentleigh Greens attacking → ← attacking Altona Magic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Altona Magic let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bentleigh Greens went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Altona Magic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 29
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oakleigh Cannons19125241:1841
2Hume City19124339:2240
3Avondale FC19111753:2534
4Heidelberg Utd1994631:2431
5Melbourne City U211885535:2029
6Preston Lions18112528:1529
7South Melbourne1991929:3228
8George Cross1968525:2626
9Dandenong City SC1975726:2522
10St Albans1964921:3422
11Altona Magic19541021:3519
12Bentleigh Greens19441117:4216
13Dandenong Thunder19331320:4212
14Green Gully19241313:3910