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Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Brooks L.
90' Event
Lynn A.
90'
Hilliar S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bentleigh Greens
35%
Draws
32%
Preston Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Preston Lions lately — more wins on the board than Bentleigh Greens.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Preston Lions Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens Preston Lions
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions
1:1
Jun 21, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
Mar 15, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions
3:2
Jul 10, 2005 NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynn A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Preston Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 30 / 100
Preston Lions 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens Preston Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bentleigh Greens has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bentleigh Greens scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Preston Lions let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bentleigh Greens VS Preston Lions
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bentleigh Greens

(Home)
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6
Bentleigh Greens
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0
Oakleigh Cannons
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
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Preston Lions

(Away)
05 Sept
Avondale FC
2 : 0
Preston Lions
29 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 1
Altona Magic
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
22 Aug
Dandenong City SC
0 : 0
Preston Lions
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0
Melbourne City U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)