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Berane vs FK Podgorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dasic D.
33' Event
Kopitovic B.
38' Event
Djukic N.

AI Match Summary

The Druga Liga 2025/2026 game between Berane and FK Podgorica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Berane
30%
Draws
64%
FK Podgorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Berane haven't matched FK Podgorica's recent run of results.
  • FK Podgorica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Druga Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Berane Clean Sheet 10%
FK Podgorica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berane FK Podgorica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Druga Liga
Berane vs FK Podgorica
2:3
May 24, 2026 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Berane
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 Druga Liga
Berane vs FK Podgorica
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Berane
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Druga Liga
Berane vs FK Podgorica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berane Compare

Top Goalscorer Dasic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djukic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FK Podgorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopitovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berane 10 / 100
FK Podgorica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berane FK Podgorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Podgorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Podgorica has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Berane scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Berane went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berane VS FK Podgorica
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berane

(Home)
04 Oct
Berane
1 : 2
Jedinstvo
30 Sept
Rudar
4 : 0
Berane
26 Sept
Berane
2 : 3
FK Podgorica
20 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 0
Berane
16 Sept
Berane
1 : 1
Budva
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FK Podgorica

(Away)
06 Oct
FK Podgorica
2 : 1
Lovcen
30 Sept
FK Podgorica
1 : 1
Jedinstvo
26 Sept
Berane
2 : 3
FK Podgorica
21 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
FK Podgorica
17 Sept
FK Podgorica
3 : 3
Zeta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 36 23 5 8 81:31 74
2 Grbalj 36 21 4 11 63:42 67
3 Iskra Danilovgrad 36 17 13 6 51:34 64
4 Berane 36 12 14 10 45:36 50
5 Kom Podgorica 36 15 5 16 47:43 50
6 Lovcen 36 14 6 16 34:45 48
7 FK Podgorica 36 13 8 15 39:46 47
8 Rudar 36 12 9 15 47:48 45
9 Igalo 36 8 8 20 21:58 32
10 Internacional Podgorica 36 5 8 23 31:76 23
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)