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Berazategui vs Mercedes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sanchez Olmos L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between Berazategui and Mercedes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercedes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Berazategui
30%
Draws
31%
Mercedes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Berazategui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mercedes haven't matched Berazategui's recent run of results.
  • Berazategui are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Berazategui have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Berazategui Clean Sheet 68%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berazategui Mercedes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera C
Berazategui vs Mercedes
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Berazategui
0:2
Aug 8, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Berazategui
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 Primera C
Berazategui vs Mercedes
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 Primera C
Berazategui vs Mercedes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berazategui Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mercedes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Olmos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berazategui 95 / 100
Mercedes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berazategui Mercedes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berazategui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berazategui's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Berazategui went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mercedes conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Berazategui VS Mercedes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Berazategui

(Home)
03 Oct
Juventud Unida San Miguel
3 : 2
Berazategui
27 Sept
Berazategui
3 : 0
Sacachispas
19 Sept
Argentino de Rosario
1 : 1
Berazategui
12 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0
Atlas
06 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
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Mercedes

(Away)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0
Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1
Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3
Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)