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Berceo vs Casalarreina CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Rodriguez I.
73' Event
Akbache A.
76' Event
Pena R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between Berceo and Casalarreina CF finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Berceo
15%
Draws
17%
Casalarreina CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berceo come out ahead of Casalarreina CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Berceo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Berceo Clean Sheet 20%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Casalarreina CF
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.62 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Casalarreina CF
2:3
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Berceo
0:2
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Casalarreina CF
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Berceo
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Berceo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbache A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 85 / 100
Casalarreina CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Casalarreina CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berceo scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Casalarreina CF let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Berceo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Casalarreina CF
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
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Casalarreina CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)