Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025

Berceo

2 - 3

Casalarreina CF

Our Tip

Match Events

52'

Rodriguez I.

73'

Akbache A.

76'

Pena R.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between Berceo and Casalarreina CF finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Berceo

40%

Draws

29%

Casalarreina CF

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Berceo come out ahead of Casalarreina CF on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Berceo Clean Sheet 20%

Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Berceo	Casalarreina CF
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	7
Draws	8	3
Losses	13	20
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Berceo vs Casalarreina CF

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Berceo

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Berceo vs Casalarreina CF

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Berceo

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Casalarreina CF vs Berceo

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbache A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Garcia M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 32 / 100

Casalarreina CF 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Berceo Casalarreina CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casalarreina CF has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Berceo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Berceo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Naxara	34	30	3	1	107:12	93
2	UD Logrones B	34	25	4	5	91:29	79
3	Varea	34	20	8	6	65:35	68
4	Arnedo	34	18	7	9	64:35	61
5	Oyonesa	34	16	8	10	52:36	56
6	CDFC La Calzada	34	15	9	10	45:31	54
7	CD Calahorra B	34	12	13	9	51:43	49
8	Pena Balsamaiso	34	14	5	15	46:52	47
9	Yague	34	11	12	11	41:66	45
10	Agoncillo	34	10	12	12	36:44	42
11	Berceo	34	11	7	16	40:47	40
12	Comillas CF	34	11	4	19	40:52	37
13	Haro Deportivo	34	9	9	16	32:54	36
14	Vianes	34	9	6	19	30:44	33
15	Autol	34	7	10	17	27:58	31
16	Casalarreina CF	34	8	4	22	36:88	28
17	River Ebro	34	7	7	20	29:59	28
18	CD Tedeon	34	4	10	20	26:73	22