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Berceo vs Comillas CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Castro S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Berceo and Comillas CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Berceo
15%
Draws
46%
Comillas CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comillas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comillas CF come out ahead of Berceo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Berceo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Berceo Clean Sheet 16%
Comillas CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Comillas CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Comillas CF
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Berceo
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Comillas CF
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Berceo
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Berceo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Comillas CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 75 / 100
Comillas CF 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Comillas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Comillas CF conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Berceo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Comillas CF
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Oyonesa
3 : 0
Berceo
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1
Pradejon
Page 1 of 6

Comillas CF

(Away)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0
Comillas CF
26 Apr
Comillas CF
1 : 1
Yague
19 Apr
Comillas CF
4 : 0
Vianes
12 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 0
Comillas CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)