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Berceo vs Racing Rioja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fonseca X.
8' Event
Fonseca X.
14' Event
Tata O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between Berceo and Racing Rioja finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Berceo
15%
Draws
0%
Racing Rioja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Berceo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Berceo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Berceo Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Racing Rioja
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Racing Rioja
5:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Berceo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ballestero M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Tata O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 85 / 100
Racing Rioja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Racing Rioja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (39 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Racing Rioja's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Racing Rioja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
Page 1 of 8

Racing Rioja

(Away)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)