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Berceo vs River Ebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Alonso J.
50' Event
Alonso J.
53' Event
Tamayo S.

AI Match Summary

Berceo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Berceo
15%
Draws
21%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • River Ebro haven't matched Berceo's recent run of results.
  • Berceo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Berceo Clean Sheet 68%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo River Ebro
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs River Ebro
7:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Berceo
3:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs River Ebro
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Berceo
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs River Ebro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tamayo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

River Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 95 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Berceo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

River Ebro has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Berceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS River Ebro
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 7

River Ebro

(Away)
08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2
Pradejon
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)