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Berceo vs UD Logrones B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Diez J.
37' Event
Martinez N.
90' Event
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Berceo and UD Logrones B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Berceo
20%
Draws
24%
UD Logrones B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Logrones B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Berceo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UD Logrones B here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Berceo Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo UD Logrones B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.55 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs UD Logrones B
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Berceo
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs UD Logrones B
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Berceo
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Berceo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UD Logrones B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 83 / 100
UD Logrones B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo UD Logrones B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berceo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Berceo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UD Logrones B let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS UD Logrones B
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
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UD Logrones B

(Away)
04 Oct
UD Logrones B
2 : 4
Olot
26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1
UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
UD Logrones B
0 : 0
Barcelona B
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)