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Berceo vs Villegas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Villaverde P.

AI Match Summary

Berceo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Berceo
20%
Draws
15%
Villegas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berceo lately — more wins on the board than Villegas.
  • Model gives Berceo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Berceo Clean Sheet 18%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Villegas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.39 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Villegas
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Berceo
1:0
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Villegas
3:0
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Berceo
0:2
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Villegas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villegas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 85 / 100
Villegas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Villegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villegas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Berceo found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Berceo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Villegas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Villegas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
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Villegas

(Away)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)