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Berco vs Santa Marta Penaguiao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 game between Berco and Santa Marta Penaguiao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Berco
30%
Draws
39%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Marta Penaguiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Marta Penaguiao haven't matched Berco's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Berco Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berco Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Berco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berco 36 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berco Santa Marta Penaguiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Marta Penaguiao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berco scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Berco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berco VS Santa Marta Penaguiao
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Berco

(Home)
08 May
Berco
1 : 3
Amarante FC
01 May
Tirsense
3 : 2
Berco
24 Apr
Berco
1 : 0
SC Vila Real
10 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Berco
03 Apr
Berco
2 : 2
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

Santa Marta Penaguiao

(Away)
08 May
Camacha
2 : 1
Santa Marta Penaguiao
02 May
Santa Marta Penaguiao
1 : 3
Camara de Lobos
24 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Santa Marta Penaguiao
10 Apr
Santa Marta Penaguiao
1 : 1
Camacha
03 Apr
Camara de Lobos
0 : 1
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 18 12 3 3 23:9 39
2 Sao Martinho 18 11 5 2 29:10 38
3 Tirsense 18 9 7 2 17:8 34
4 SC Mirandela 18 10 3 5 21:16 33
5 Amarante FC 18 8 6 4 33:21 30
6 Vila Mea 18 7 3 8 22:20 24
7 SC Vila Real 18 4 5 9 21:36 17
8 Santa Marta Penaguiao 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
9 Berco 18 3 4 11 16:27 13
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 18 1 3 14 10:27 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)