Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berco vs SC Vila Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Berco Logo

Berco

2 - 1
FT
SC Vila Real Logo

SC Vila Real

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Berco in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Berco
30%
Draws
23%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Berco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vila Real have won more games recently than Berco.
  • Berco are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Berco have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Berco Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berco SC Vila Real
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Berco vs SC Vila Real
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Berco
3:1
Jan 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs SC Vila Real
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Berco
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berco 59 / 100
SC Vila Real 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berco SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berco's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SC Vila Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SC Vila Real lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Vila Real
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Berco

(Home)
08 May
Berco
1 : 3
Amarante FC
01 May
Tirsense
3 : 2
Berco
24 Apr
Berco
1 : 0
SC Vila Real
10 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Berco
03 Apr
Berco
2 : 2
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 18 12 3 3 23:9 39
2 Sao Martinho 18 11 5 2 29:10 38
3 Tirsense 18 9 7 2 17:8 34
4 SC Mirandela 18 10 3 5 21:16 33
5 Amarante FC 18 8 6 4 33:21 30
6 Vila Mea 18 7 3 8 22:20 24
7 SC Vila Real 18 4 5 9 21:36 17
8 Santa Marta Penaguiao 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
9 Berco 18 3 4 11 16:27 13
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 18 1 3 14 10:27 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)