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Berdenia Berbourg vs Wiltz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2019/2020
Berdenia Berbourg Logo

Berdenia Berbourg

2 - 3
FT
Wiltz Logo

Wiltz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Wiltz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Berdenia Berbourg
15%
Draws
28%
Wiltz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berdenia Berbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wiltz come out ahead of Berdenia Berbourg on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Berdenia Berbourg taking it.
  • Wiltz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wiltz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Berdenia Berbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berdenia Berbourg Wiltz
Matches Played 20 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 0 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.55 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
Berdenia Berbourg vs Wiltz
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berdenia Berbourg 56 / 100
Wiltz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berdenia Berbourg Wiltz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berdenia Berbourg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wiltz has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Berdenia Berbourg scored in 60% of their last 20 outings.

Away concern: Wiltz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berdenia Berbourg VS Wiltz
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Berdenia Berbourg

(Home)
20 Sept
Alliance Aischdall
0 : 7
Berdenia Berbourg
25 Jul
Berdenia Berbourg
2 : 4
Jeunesse Esch
09 Nov
Berdenia Berbourg
0 : 2
Mondorf
21 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
1 : 2
Berdenia Berbourg
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3
Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4

Wiltz

(Away)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Luxembourg City 7
FC Residence Walferdange 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Canach 6
Lintgen 0
Avenir Beggen 0
Ettelbruck 1
Esch 4
Harlange/Tarchamps 2
Koeppchen 1
Kaerjeng 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 5
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
Schifflange 1
Differdange 5
Wiltz 3
Berdenia Berbourg 2
FC Munsbach 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 6
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Echternach 1
Dudelange 6
FC Rodange 91 3
Gasperich 0
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Mondorf 4
Kehlen 2
CS Sanem 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 4
Lorentzweiler 3
US Berdorf Consdorf 2
Union Remich/Bous 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Bettembourg 3
Union Tetange 2
FC Schengen 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 5
Steinfort 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Miniere Lasauvage 2
Victoria Rosport 6
Mondercange 3
SC Ell 0
FF Norden 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Union Titus Petange 7
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Grevenmacher 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 7
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hostert 4
Rumelange 6
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Red Boys Aspelt 1
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Luxembourg City 1
Hesperange 2
Jeunesse Canach 2
Ettelbruck 0
Esch 4
Kaerjeng 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 2
Differdange 4
Wiltz 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Dudelange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Mondorf 3
Kehlen 1
FC Mamer 0
Lorentzweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 5
Bettembourg 6
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Mondercange 4
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 5
Hostert 1
Rumelange 0
UNA Strassen 4
1/8-finals
Hesperange 5
Jeunesse Canach 0
Esch 0
Differdange 1
Wiltz 3
Jeunesse Esch 0
Dudelange 4
Mondorf 1
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Bettembourg 0
Victoria Rosport 3
Mondercange 2
Fola 1
Racing Luxembourg 5
UNA Strassen 1
Quarter-finals
Hesperange -
Differdange -
Wiltz -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
Mondercange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -