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Berekum Chelsea vs Medeama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Golden City Park, Berekum
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nkrumah K.
16'
Henneh A.
20' Event
Abubakar S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Berekum Chelsea and Medeama finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berekum Chelsea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Berekum Chelsea
30%
Draws
51%
Medeama
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Medeama come out ahead of Berekum Chelsea on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Medeama taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Berekum Chelsea have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Berekum Chelsea Clean Sheet 16%
Medeama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berekum Chelsea Medeama
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.67
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Medeama
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Berekum Chelsea
2:1
Jun 8, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Berekum Chelsea
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Medeama
2:1
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Medeama
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berekum Chelsea Compare

Top Goalscorer Abubakar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Attuquaye J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Medeama Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkrumah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berekum Chelsea 11 / 100
Medeama 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berekum Chelsea Medeama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medeama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berekum Chelsea scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Medeama let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Berekum Chelsea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berekum Chelsea VS Medeama
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berekum Chelsea

(Home)
04 Oct
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
27 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
1 : 1
Vision
20 Sept
Port City
2 : 1
Berekum Chelsea
13 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
3 : 1
Dreams FC
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
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Medeama

(Away)
04 Oct
Debibi United
0 : 1
Medeama
30 Sept
Medeama
1 : 0
Port City
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
23 Sept
Dreams FC
2 : 2
Medeama
19 Sept
Vision
1 : 1
Medeama
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)