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Bergantinos vs Naron

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Bergantinos and Naron finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bergantinos
6%
Draws
4%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergantinos come out ahead of Naron on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Naron
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 17 4
Draws 12 7
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Bergantinos
3:2
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Naron
0:0
Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Naron
3:2
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Bergantinos
1:2
Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Naron
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 85 / 100
Naron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bergantinos scored in 60% of their last 43 games.

Recent resilience: Bergantinos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Bergantinos
1 : 3
UD Ourense
18 Apr
Real Oviedo B
1 : 2
Bergantinos
12 Apr
Bergantinos
0 : 1
Sarriana
05 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 4
Bergantinos
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerceda36265558:1783
2Racing Club Ferrol36227779:2973
3CD Ourense362141171:3167
4Racing Club Villalbes361712739:2563
5Somozas361612849:3260
6Alondras361413947:3855
7SD Ordenes3615101142:4455
8SD Negreira361491341:3551
9Villalonga3612131142:4549
10Rapido de Bouzas361351843:5144
11CD AS Pontes3611111441:5344
12Estradense3611111437:4144
13Meson do Bento367191036:4840
14Bergantinos3610101633:4540
15CD Cultural Areas369121540:5539
16Pontevedra B369101730:4637
17Santa Comba368111730:5235
18Naron36872133:5631
19Portonovo SD36572423:7122
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)