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Bergantinos vs Naron

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Bergantinos and Naron finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bergantinos
20%
Draws
7%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergantinos come out ahead of Naron on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Naron
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 16 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.29 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Bergantinos
3:2
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Naron
0:0
Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Naron
3:2
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Bergantinos
1:2
Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Naron
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 85 / 100
Naron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bergantinos scored in 62% of their last 42 games.

Recent resilience: Bergantinos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
12 Aug
Bergantinos
0 : 3
Lugo
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)