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Bergantinos vs Ourense CF

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
Bergantinos Logo

Bergantinos

0 - 2
FT
Ourense CF Logo

Ourense CF

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Bouzaig A.
69' Event
Bouzaig A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Ourense CF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bergantinos
15%
Draws
32%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Bergantinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Bergantinos taking it.
  • Bergantinos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ourense CF, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ourense CF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Ourense CF
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Ourense CF
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Ourense CF vs Bergantinos
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Bergantinos
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Ourense CF
1:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Ourense CF
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzaig A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 95 / 100
Ourense CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Ourense CF has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Bergantinos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Ourense CF
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
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Ourense CF

(Away)
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
CD Laguna 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0