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Bergantinos vs Sarriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Berardozzi T.

AI Match Summary

Sarriana in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bergantinos
15%
Draws
36%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergantinos lately — more wins on the board than Sarriana.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Bergantinos taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 18%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Sarriana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Sarriana
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Bergantinos
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Bergantinos
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Sarriana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Berardozzi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 58 / 100
Sarriana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergantinos found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarriana let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Bergantinos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Sarriana
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
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Sarriana

(Away)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)