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Bergdalens IK vs Hestrafors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Brodin O.
24' Event
Lillskog V.
35' Event
Lillskog V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hestrafors in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hestrafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bergdalens IK
15%
Draws
85%
Hestrafors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hestrafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hestrafors have won more games recently than Bergdalens IK.
  • Model gives Hestrafors a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 10%
Hestrafors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergdalens IK Hestrafors
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.57 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Hestrafors
1:5
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Bergdalens IK
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergdalens IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Hestrafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Brodin O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lillskog V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergdalens IK 10 / 100
Hestrafors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergdalens IK Hestrafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hestrafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hestrafors conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Bergdalens IK's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hestrafors lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hestrafors
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergdalens IK

(Home)
19 Oct
Bergdalens IK
0 : 5
BK Astrio
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
05 Oct
Bergdalens IK
2 : 3
Frolunda
28 Sept
Onsala
8 : 2
Bergdalens IK
21 Sept
Bergdalens IK
0 : 1
Boljan
Page 1 of 6

Hestrafors

(Away)
02 Oct
Hestrafors
0 : 1
Onsala
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
19 Sept
Hestrafors
1 : 3
Kongahalla
11 Sept
Boljan
1 : 3
Hestrafors
06 Sept
Hestrafors
2 : 0
Lindome
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)