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Bergdalens IK vs Varbergs GIF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ademi L.
24' Event
Ceganjac A.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Kalem Royson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Bergdalens IK and Varbergs GIF finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varbergs GIF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bergdalens IK
15%
Draws
85%
Varbergs GIF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varbergs GIF come out ahead of Bergdalens IK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Varbergs GIF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varbergs GIF here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 10%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergdalens IK Varbergs GIF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.57 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens IK
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Varbergs GIF
1:5
Jun 30, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens IK
7:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Varbergs GIF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergdalens IK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Varbergs GIF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ademi L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kalem Royson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergdalens IK 10 / 100
Varbergs GIF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergdalens IK Varbergs GIF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varbergs GIF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varbergs GIF let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Bergdalens IK found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Varbergs GIF's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bergdalens IK VS Varbergs GIF
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergdalens IK

(Home)
19 Oct
Bergdalens IK
0 : 5
BK Astrio
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
05 Oct
Bergdalens IK
2 : 3
Frolunda
28 Sept
Onsala
8 : 2
Bergdalens IK
21 Sept
Bergdalens IK
0 : 1
Boljan
Page 1 of 6

Varbergs GIF

(Away)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)