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Bergerac vs Colomiers

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National 2 - Group D 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D 2021/2022 game between Bergerac and Colomiers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergerac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bergerac
20%
Draws
29%
Colomiers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergerac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergerac come out ahead of Colomiers on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 20%
Colomiers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergerac Colomiers
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.12 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Bergerac vs Colomiers
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Bergerac vs Colomiers
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Colomiers vs Bergerac
0:1
May 8, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Bergerac vs Colomiers
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Colomiers vs Bergerac
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergerac 36 / 100
Colomiers 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergerac Colomiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colomiers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colomiers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Bergerac scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Bergerac has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colomiers's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bergerac VS Colomiers
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergerac

(Home)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
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Colomiers

(Away)
16 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0
Colomiers
16 Nov
Colomiers
2 : 3
Vierzon Foot
07 Aug
Bergerac
1 : 1
Colomiers
19 Nov
Colomiers
0 : 1
Pau
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3
Colomiers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 18 7 5 40:17 61
2 Bergerac 30 17 9 4 38:16 60
3 Bourges 18 30 17 5 8 46:25 56
4 Andrezieux 30 15 6 9 43:30 51
5 Angouleme CFC 30 13 10 7 33:25 49
6 Beziers 30 13 8 9 45:36 47
7 Moulins-Yzeure 30 11 11 8 33:28 44
8 Canet Roussillon 30 14 6 10 35:36 37
9 Les Herbiers 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
10 Trelissac 30 9 8 13 27:34 35
11 Nantes II 30 8 10 12 33:37 34
12 Angers II 30 7 12 11 27:32 33
13 Chamalieres 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
14 Montpellier II 30 8 6 16 33:44 30
15 Colomiers 30 6 9 15 30:46 27
16 Stade Montois 30 1 7 22 24:67 10
Promotion - National 2022/2023 (Main)