Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bergerac vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 Stade de Campreal, Bergerac
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Diallo A.
57' Event
Diallo A.
82' Event
Sylla K.

AI Match Summary

Toulon in this National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bergerac
35%
Draws
37%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bergerac haven't matched Toulon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Toulon a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Toulon have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 18%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergerac Toulon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Toulon
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Bergerac
2:0
Apr 14, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Toulon
0:2
Nov 25, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Bergerac
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergerac Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergerac 10 / 100
Toulon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergerac Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bergerac scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Toulon conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bergerac remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toulon
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergerac

(Home)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
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Toulon

(Away)
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
31 Jul
Toulon
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 17 8 5 48:17 59
2 Cannes 30 15 10 5 57:30 55
3 Toulon 30 13 9 8 44:35 48
4 RC Grasse 30 11 12 7 40:29 45
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 34:25 45
6 Angouleme CFC 30 10 13 7 28:28 43
7 Saint Priest 30 11 9 10 32:33 42
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 12 9 33:36 38
9 Istres 30 11 5 14 40:48 38
10 Rumilly Vallieres 30 8 13 9 35:35 37
11 Andrezieux 30 9 10 11 36:29 37
12 Marignane GCB 30 9 8 13 29:43 35
13 Bergerac 30 9 7 14 34:49 34
14 GOAL FC 30 10 6 14 33:53 32
15 Jura Sud 30 5 14 11 28:36 29
16 Genets 30 4 8 18 25:50 20
Promotion - National 2025/2026 (Main)