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Bergheim W vs Sturm Graz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 Sportplatz FC Bergheim, Bergheim
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Match Events

13'
Spinn L.
38'
Maierhofer S.
43'
Baubock T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bergheim W
20%
Draws
29%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergheim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm Graz W have won more games recently than Bergheim W.
  • Win probability leans Bergheim W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sturm Graz W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Bergheim W Clean Sheet 18%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergheim W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Bergheim W
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs Sturm Graz W
0:0
May 26, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Bergheim W
4:0
Nov 11, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs Sturm Graz W
0:2
May 6, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Bergheim W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergheim W 49 / 100
Sturm Graz W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergheim W Sturm Graz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergheim W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sturm Graz W conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bergheim W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sturm Graz W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sturm Graz W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergheim W

(Home)
10 May
Union Kleinmunchen W
1 : 1
Bergheim W
04 May
Bergheim W
1 : 0
Neulengbach W
26 Apr
Bergheim W
1 : 2
LASK Linz W
19 Apr
SCR Altach W
1 : 0
Bergheim W
12 Apr
Bergheim W
3 : 0
Dornbirn W
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Sturm Graz W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 18 14 3 1 53:8 45
2 Austria Vienna W 18 12 4 2 42:6 40
3 First Vienna W 18 10 3 5 31:23 33
4 Sturm Graz W 18 9 4 5 24:16 31
5 SCR Altach W 18 7 1 10 23:30 22
6 Bergheim W 18 4 9 5 12:16 21
7 Neulengbach W 18 5 5 8 15:25 20
8 Union Kleinmunchen W 18 5 1 12 14:37 16
9 Dornbirn W 18 3 4 11 12:36 13
10 LASK Linz W 18 4 0 14 17:46 12
Promotion - Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)