Sport Picks
Bergisch Gladbach vs Dortmund II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga West 
Match Events
23'
23'
Fricke F.
47'
47'
Nsumbu D.
52'
52'
Verlaat J.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga West game between Bergisch Gladbach and Dortmund II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dortmund II have managed 1.79 goals a game lately — Bergisch Gladbach are scoring more at 2.76.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund II taking it.
- Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Dortmund II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Dortmund II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.76 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bergisch Gladbach vs Dortmund II
1:3
Jun 1, 2021 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach
3:1
Nov 29, 2020 Regionalliga West
Bergisch Gladbach vs Dortmund II
0:3
May 16, 2020 Regionalliga West
Bergisch Gladbach vs Dortmund II
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs Bergisch Gladbach
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bergisch Gladbach Compare
Top Goalscorer Fricke F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Dortmund II Compare
Top Goalscorer Nsumbu D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Verlaat J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bergisch Gladbach 26 / 100
Dortmund II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bergisch Gladbach Dortmund II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bergisch Gladbach found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Dortmund II let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Bergisch Gladbach stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bergisch Gladbach VS Dortmund II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bergisch Gladbach
(Home) 03 Oct
Hilden
4 : 2 Bergisch Gladbach
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2 Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2 Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2 Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0 Bochum II
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26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2 Westfalia Rhynern
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0 Bochum II
29 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 4 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
14 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 3 Dortmund II
01 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 1 SG Wattenscheid
Page 1 of 4
Dortmund II
(Away) 04 Oct
Siegen
1 : 3 Dortmund II
26 Sept
Dortmund II
4 : 2 Bocholt
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1 Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1 Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2 Rodinghausen
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04 Oct
Siegen
1 : 3 Dortmund II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1 Dortmund II
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach II
0 : 0 Dortmund II
29 Aug
Hilden
0 : 2 Dortmund II
26 Aug
Fulham U21
1 : 4 Dortmund II
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Dortmund II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Gutersloh | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 4 | B. Monchengladbach II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Westfalia Rhynern | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 6 | Siegen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 7 | Bergisch Gladbach | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 8 | Bonner | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 21:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Schalke II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20:20 | 15 |
| 10 | Koln II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Bocholt | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 24:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Paderborn II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 13 | SG Wattenscheid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 14 | Hilden | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Rodinghausen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Wiedenbruck | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Lotte | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
