Sport Picks
Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Duren
Germany
Oberliga Mittelrhein 
AI Match Summary
Bergisch Gladbach play Sportfreunde Duren in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Bergisch Gladbach are favorites here. Recently, Bergisch Gladbach averaged 2.91 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Sportfreunde Duren averaged 1.37 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. In past meetings, Bergisch Gladbach won 2, Sportfreunde Duren won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.75 for Bergisch Gladbach and 1.06 for Sportfreunde Duren. This points to a Bergisch Gladbach double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Bergisch Gladbach picked up more points recently compared to Sportfreunde Duren.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.75 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Sportfreunde Duren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 2.91 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 3.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 4.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bergisch Gladbach scored in 94% of their last 32 games.
Sportfreunde Duren let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 6.50 goals.
Bergisch Gladbach went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Sportfreunde Duren lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergisch Gladbach | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 85:28 | 67 |
| 2 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 86:36 | 64 |
| 3 | Siegburger | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 75:34 | 62 |
| 4 | Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80:28 | 60 |
| 5 | VfL Vichttal | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 80:43 | 59 |
| 6 | FC Wegberg-Beeck | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 62:35 | 51 |
| 7 | Frechen | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 66:54 | 50 |
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65:56 | 46 |
| 9 | Konigsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53:54 | 46 |
| 10 | Fortuna Koln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62:47 | 45 |
| 11 | 1. FC Duren | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49:59 | 38 |
| 12 | Hennef | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45:66 | 35 |
| 13 | SpVg Porz 1919 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58:99 | 25 |
| 14 | Teutonia Weiden | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 25:104 | 16 |
| 15 | Sportfreunde Duren | 30 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 41:103 | 14 |
| 16 | Pesch | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 26:112 | 8 |