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Berkhamsted Town vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hill I.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Lacey J.
67' Event
Faniyan S. A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Berkhamsted Town and Poole Town finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Berkhamsted Town
15%
Draws
53%
Poole Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Poole Town haven't matched Berkhamsted Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Poole Town's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Poole Town have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Berkhamsted Town Clean Sheet 17%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berkhamsted Town Poole Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Poole Town
2:3
Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Berkhamsted Town
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Poole Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berkhamsted Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacey J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Faniyan S. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berkhamsted Town 20 / 100
Poole Town 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berkhamsted Town Poole Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berkhamsted Town found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Poole Town conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Berkhamsted Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berkhamsted Town VS Poole Town
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berkhamsted Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Redditch
0 : 2
Berkhamsted Town
29 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
4 : 1
Hendon
Page 1 of 6

Poole Town

(Away)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)