Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Bermeo and Oiartzun finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oiartzun
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Oiartzun carry the better recent record into this one.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Oiartzun taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 17%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bermeo | Oiartzun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 21 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Oiartzun
1:2
Sep 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Bermeo
0:0
Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Oiartzun
1:1
Oct 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Bermeo
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bermeo 28 / 100
Oiartzun 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bermeo Oiartzun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oiartzun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oiartzun let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Solid form: Bermeo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Bermeo's goal record stands at 51% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bermeo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bermeo
(Home) 18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0 Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
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18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
06 Apr
Bermeo
0 : 0 Santurtzi
30 Mar
Bermeo
0 : 1 Amurrio Club
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Oiartzun
(Away) 16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2 Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0 Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0 Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Balmaseda
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09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 Oiartzun
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0 Oiartzun
11 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1 Oiartzun
28 Mar
Beasain
1 : 2 Oiartzun
14 Mar
Basconia
3 : 1 Oiartzun
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 62:34 | 81 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 67:38 | 70 |
| 3 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 67:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Basconia | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 77:49 | 67 |
| 5 | Alaves B | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:33 | 62 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:45 | 60 |
| 7 | Gernika Club | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 43:29 | 59 |
| 8 | Zamudio | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:48 | 56 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 45:59 | 52 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 37:40 | 48 |
| 12 | SCD Durango | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 52:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:48 | 46 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 15 | Oiartzun | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:61 | 44 |
| 16 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 31:45 | 42 |
| 17 | Bermeo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Elgoibar | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 26:48 | 35 |
| 19 | Sodupe | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 36:65 | 25 |
| 20 | Retuerto Sport | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 21:62 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
