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Bermeo vs Ordizia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Bermeo Logo

Bermeo

0 - 3
FT
Ordizia Logo

Ordizia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ordizia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordizia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bermeo
35%
Draws
32%
Ordizia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordizia lately — more wins on the board than Bermeo.
  • Bermeo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 68%
Ordizia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermeo Ordizia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 9 12
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Ordizia
0:3
Oct 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Ordizia vs Bermeo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermeo 95 / 100
Ordizia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermeo Ordizia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bermeo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordizia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bermeo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bermeo scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bermeo VS Ordizia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermeo

(Home)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Ordizia

(Away)
18 May
Ordizia
2 : 2
Sestao
11 May
Somorrostro
7 : 0
Ordizia
05 May
Ordizia
1 : 2
SD Deusto
27 Apr
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Ordizia
18 Apr
Ordizia
0 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 26 8 4 65:21 86
2 Sestao 38 22 12 4 74:36 78
3 Alaves B 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
4 San Ignacio 38 17 12 9 66:36 63
5 Balmaseda 38 17 12 9 50:36 63
6 Basconia 38 16 12 10 64:52 60
7 Real Sociedad C 38 16 11 11 71:48 59
8 Somorrostro 38 14 15 9 59:43 57
9 Sodupe 38 11 17 10 49:45 50
10 Pasaia 38 12 13 13 33:46 49
11 Santutxu FC 38 12 12 14 38:48 48
12 Lagun Onak 38 12 12 14 46:46 48
13 Beasain 38 9 19 10 46:40 46
14 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 33:42 45
15 SD Deusto 38 10 13 15 41:55 43
16 Zamudio 38 10 9 19 42:66 39
17 Amurrio Club 38 8 10 20 30:64 34
18 Ordizia 38 5 16 17 40:72 31
19 SD San Pedro 38 6 11 21 40:69 29
20 Bermeo 38 2 13 23 24:71 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)