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Bermuda vs Dominican Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 ABFA Technical Centre, Piggotts
Bermuda Logo

Bermuda

2 - 3
FT
Dominican Republic Logo

Dominican Republic

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Reyes E.
17' Event
Crichlow K.
Assist: Hall B.
20'
Basden C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bermuda
15%
Draws
85%
Dominican Republic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic have won more games recently than Bermuda.
  • Dominican Republic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda Dominican Republic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.47 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Bermuda
6:1
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Dominican Republic
2:3
Mar 24, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Bermuda
1:3
Jun 5, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Bermuda vs Dominican Republic
0:1
Sep 29, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Bermuda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Crichlow K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lambe R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morschel H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda 10 / 100
Dominican Republic 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda Dominican Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dominican Republic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Bermuda found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Dominican Republic has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Dominican Republic has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda VS Dominican Republic
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda

(Home)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
Page 1 of 6

Dominican Republic

(Away)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)