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Bermuda W vs Dominican Republic W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bermuda W play Dominican Republic W in the Gold Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bermuda W averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Dominican Republic W averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Bermuda W won 1, Dominican Republic W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 5, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Bermuda W and 1.69 for Dominican Republic W. This points to a Dominican Republic W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bermuda W
15%
Draws
46%
Dominican Republic W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Bermuda W picked up more points recently compared to Dominican Republic W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bermuda W Clean Sheet 13%
Dominican Republic W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda W Dominican Republic W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Dominican Republic W vs Bermuda W
2:0
Sep 22, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Bermuda W vs Dominican Republic W
2:0
Apr 8, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Dominican Republic W vs Bermuda W
1:0
Jul 7, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Dominican Republic W vs Bermuda W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Masters J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Dominican Republic W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda W 38 / 100
Dominican Republic W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda W Dominican Republic W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dominican Republic W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bermuda W attacking → ← attacking Dominican Republic W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Dominican Republic W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Bermuda W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dominican Republic W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 54
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guyana W650120:215
2Suriname W640217:212
3Antigua and Barbuda W61143:84
4Dominica W61142:304
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador W660024:218
2Martinique W62137:157
3Nicaragua W61235:115
4Honduras W61145:134
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dominican Republic W650124:315
2Bermuda W641114:513
3Barbados W611411:194
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W61054:263