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Bermuda W vs Dominican Republic W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Masters J.
45' Event
Masters J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bermuda W
15%
Draws
8%
Dominican Republic W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bermuda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bermuda W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Bermuda W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bermuda W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dominican Republic W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Bermuda W Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bermuda W Dominican Republic W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.07 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Dominican Republic W vs Bermuda W
2:0
Sep 22, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Bermuda W vs Dominican Republic W
2:0
Apr 8, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Dominican Republic W vs Bermuda W
1:0
Jul 7, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Dominican Republic W vs Bermuda W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bermuda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Masters J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dominican Republic W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bermuda W 30 / 100
Dominican Republic W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bermuda W Dominican Republic W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Dominican Republic W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bermuda W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bermuda W VS Dominican Republic W
2.13 Goals Scored 3.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bermuda W

(Home)
07 Jun
Bermuda W
1 : 0
Belize W
04 Jun
Bermuda W
4 : 0
Belize W
18 Apr
Bermuda W
5 : 3
Grenada W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
Page 1 of 6

Dominican Republic W

(Away)
02 Aug
Dominican Republic W
0 : 1
Venezuela W
31 Jul
Dominican Republic W
1 : 2
Costa Rica W
29 Jul
El Salvador W
1 : 0
Dominican Republic W
22 Jul
Dominican Republic W
0 : 3
Mexico U23 W
18 Apr
Haiti W
1 : 1
Dominican Republic W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana W 6 5 0 1 20:2 15
2 Suriname W 6 4 0 2 17:2 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda W 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
4 Dominica W 6 1 1 4 2:30 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 6 6 0 0 24:2 18
2 Martinique W 6 2 1 3 7:15 7
3 Nicaragua W 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
4 Honduras W 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic W 6 5 0 1 24:3 15
2 Bermuda W 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Barbados W 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 6 1 0 5 4:26 3
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)