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Bernburg vs Grimma

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020 game between Bernburg and Grimma finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bernburg
15%
Draws
85%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bernburg haven't matched Grimma's recent run of results.
  • Bernburg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 20%
Grimma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bernburg Grimma
Matches Played 19 39
Wins 2 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.05 1.92
Goals Conceded 3.53 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Grimma
4:5
Aug 3, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Bernburg
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bernburg 42 / 100
Grimma 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bernburg Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Grimma let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bernburg scored in 53% of their last 19 outings.

Away concern: Grimma has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grimma
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bernburg

(Home)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
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Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
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