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Bernburg vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 26, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bernburg host VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal have shipped 2.33 goals a game lately, while Bernburg have conceded 3.53 and scored 1.05. Past meetings favor Bernburg slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bernburg
20%
Draws
80%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Bernburg's 1.05.
  • Bernburg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 20%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bernburg VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
Matches Played 19 15
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.05 1.4
Goals Conceded 3.53 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Bernburg
1:2
Apr 13, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Bernburg
0:0
Oct 3, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bernburg 42 / 100
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bernburg VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal let in goals in 100% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Bernburg scored in 53% of their last 19 games.

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bernburg VS VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bernburg

(Home)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
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VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

(Away)
14 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
4 : 0
Krieschow
06 Dec
Eilenburg
2 : 2
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
01 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
23 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
1 : 1
Jena II
09 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 3
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
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