Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beroe vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ferrer I.
40'
Dinev D.
45'
Georgiev M.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Beroe and Hebar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beroe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Beroe
11%
Draws
9%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Hebar have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Beroe are scoring more at 1.63.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Beroe taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Beroe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%
Hebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Hebar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Vtora liga
Beroe vs Hebar
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Hebar
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 efbet League
Hebar vs Beroe
3:1
May 17, 2024 efbet League
Hebar vs Beroe
0:1
Nov 24, 2023 efbet League
Beroe vs Hebar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 86 / 100
Hebar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Beroe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hebar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Hebar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
15 Jul
Beroe
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
12 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Beroe
08 Jul
Beroe
6 : 0
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
24 Jun
Hebar
0 : 1
FC Ballkani
23 May
Svoge
1 : 0
Hebar
15 May
Hebar
1 : 1
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)