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Beroe vs Montana

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Todorov A.
21' Event
Dimitrov B.
Assist: Carmona Sierra D.
27'
Balde U.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Beroe and Montana finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beroe
35%
Draws
26%
Montana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beroe come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Beroe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Montana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Beroe vs Montana
0:0
May 5, 2026 efbet League
Beroe vs Montana
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 efbet League
Montana vs Beroe
0:1
Oct 20, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Montana
1:1
Apr 24, 2021 efbet League
Montana vs Beroe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alarcon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Montana Compare

Top Goalscorer Todorov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dimitrov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 95 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Montana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montana let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Beroe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Montana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Montana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
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Montana

(Away)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)