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Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beroe host Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Vtora liga. This one's hard to separate. Beroe have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Pirin Blagoevgrad's 0.76 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Beroe have won 3 to Pirin Blagoevgrad's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward Beroe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Beroe
15%
Draws
34%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Beroe have won more games recently than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Beroe Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.31 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 efbet League
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:0
Nov 3, 2023 efbet League
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:0
Jul 14, 2023 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Beroe
1:2
May 31, 2023 efbet League
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 efbet League
Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 31 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Beroe scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pirin Blagoevgrad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
17 Oct
Beroe
0 : 3
Ludogorets
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
17 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 4
Hebar
10 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
14 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
15 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)