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Stadium Background

Beroe vs Spartak Pleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ferrer I.
18'
Ivanov V.
26'
Sub
Antonov P. In: Kozhuharov A.
Out: Antonov P.

AI Match Summary

Beroe in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beroe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beroe
15%
Draws
46%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Beroe have won more games recently than Spartak Pleven.
  • Model gives Beroe a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Beroe Clean Sheet 19%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beroe Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Vtora liga
Beroe vs Spartak Pleven
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Spartak Pleven
3:0
Mar 27, 2004 Vtora liga
Beroe vs Spartak Pleven
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Spartak Pleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beroe 42 / 100
Spartak Pleven 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beroe Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Beroe's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Beroe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beroe VS Spartak Pleven
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beroe

(Home)
17 Oct
Beroe
0 : 3
Ludogorets
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Pleven

(Away)
18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
10 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
14 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
15 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)