Sport Picks
Berriew FC vs Penrhyncoch
Wales
FA Cup 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Berriew FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berriew FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Penrhyncoch carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Berriew FC taking it.
- Penrhyncoch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Penrhyncoch have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Berriew FC Clean Sheet 17%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Berriew FC | Penrhyncoch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Berriew FC vs Penrhyncoch
3:2
Mar 10, 2010 Cymru Alliance
Penrhyncoch vs Berriew FC
4:3
Aug 19, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Berriew FC vs Penrhyncoch
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Berriew FC 75 / 100
Penrhyncoch 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Berriew FC Penrhyncoch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Berriew FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Berriew FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Penrhyncoch let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Penrhyncoch lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Penrhyncoch
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Berriew FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
04 Sept
Newtown
6 : 1 Berriew FC
14 Aug
Llanelwy
2 : 7 Berriew FC
03 Aug
Berriew FC
0 : 2 Corwen
10 Nov
Prestatyn
6 : 3 Berriew FC
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
03 Aug
Berriew FC
0 : 2 Corwen
20 Oct
Berriew FC
3 : 2 Penrhyncoch
17 Apr
Berriew FC
1 : 1 Llandudno FC
14 Apr
Berriew FC
1 : 2 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 3
Penrhyncoch
(Away) 03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Penrhyncoch
22 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 3
Afan Lido 2
Pencoed 1
Ton Pentre 3
Cwmamman United 4
Dinas Powys 0
Garden Village 1
Blaenrhondda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 2
STM Sports 1
Trefelin 1
Pure Swansea 2
Goytre AFC 2
Radnor Valley 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Flint Town 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Brickfield Rangers 3
Gresford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Penrhyncoch 2
New Brighton Villa 1
Prestatyn 5
Holyhead 4
Corwen 2
Coedpoeth 2
Ruthin Town 3
Cefn Albion 7
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Mold Alexandra 2
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penlan Club 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 2
Rhostyllen 0
Llandudno Amateurs 2
Nantlle Vale FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sully Sports 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 3
Pwllheli 0
Hawarden Rangers 2
Llanfair United 3
Llay Welfare 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Penycae FC 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Llangefni 2
Borth United 0
Llandudno Albion 3
St. Asaph 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 1
Caerau Ely 0
Cornelly 2
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 5
Port Talbot 0
West End 0
Caldicot 6
Buckley 3
Brymbo 1
Holyhead Town 3
Denbigh 9
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Conwy Borough 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monmouth 4
Undy 3
Taffs Well 1
Ynysddu Welfare 2
Penybont 3
Panteg 1
Llandrindod 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 1
Ton Pentre 2
Cwmamman United 2
Blaenrhondda 1
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 4
Pure Swansea 3
Goytre AFC 3
Pontypridd United 6
Flint Town 3
Gresford 2
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Prestatyn 6
Holyhead 3
Ruthin Town 1
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor City 6
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 4
Nantlle Vale FC 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
Sully Sports 1
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 4
Llanfair United 1
Llay Welfare 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 9
Llangefni 5
St. Asaph 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 4
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 3
Caldicot 2
Buckley 1
Denbigh 3
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Rhyl 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Monmouth 1
Ynysddu Welfare 3
Penybont 2
Aberbargoed Buds 0
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ton Pentre 1
Cwmamman United 3
Aberystwyth 4
Haverfordwest 3
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 0
Bala 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Holyhead 1
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Goytre Utd 0
Guilsfield 2
Connahs Q. 4
TNS 3
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Porthmadog 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llanelli 0
Briton Ferry 2
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 2
Denbigh 1
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 3
Ynysddu Welfare 1
Penybont 1
Barry Town 4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Aberystwyth 1
Haverfordwest 0
Bala 4
Caernarfon 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 3
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 2
Barry Town 3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Bala 0
Caernarfon 1
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 8
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 2
Barry Town 3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 2
Barry Town 0
Final
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 3
