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Bertamirans FC vs CD AS Pontes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014 game between Bertamirans FC and CD AS Pontes finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD AS Pontes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bertamirans FC
35%
Draws
56%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CD AS Pontes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on CD AS Pontes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD AS Pontes have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bertamirans FC Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bertamirans FC CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 1 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 0.65 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Bertamirans FC
1:0
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bertamirans FC vs CD AS Pontes
1:1
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bertamirans FC vs CD AS Pontes
2:3
Dec 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Bertamirans FC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bertamirans FC 10 / 100
CD AS Pontes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bertamirans FC CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD AS Pontes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bertamirans FC's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Solid form: Bertamirans FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD AS Pontes
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bertamirans FC

(Home)
16 May
Silva SD
4 : 2
Bertamirans FC
10 May
Bertamirans FC
1 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
03 May
Xuventu Sanxenxo
3 : 1
Bertamirans FC
25 Apr
Bertamirans FC
2 : 2
Ribadumia
19 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
6 : 0
Bertamirans FC
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Somozas 38 22 9 7 72:36 75
2 Cerceda 38 21 11 6 61:27 74
3 CD Boiro 38 19 17 2 66:37 74
4 Pontevedra 38 22 7 9 47:27 73
5 CD AS Pontes 38 21 10 7 72:42 73
6 CD Choco 38 19 8 11 67:51 65
7 Arosa SC 38 16 11 11 48:39 59
8 SD Ordenes 38 17 7 14 49:38 58
9 Deportivo Fabril 38 14 12 12 54:55 54
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 9 15 46:51 51
11 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 15 11 43:43 51
12 Alondras 38 13 7 18 46:51 46
13 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 10 16 31:47 46
14 Bertamirans FC 38 10 12 16 34:45 42
15 Laracha 38 9 10 19 31:54 37
16 CD Cultural Areas 38 10 5 23 46:74 35
17 Grixoa 38 7 12 19 32:55 33
18 Betanzos CF 38 5 16 17 30:55 31
19 Dorneda 38 8 7 23 33:57 31
20 SD Negreira 38 8 7 23 36:60 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)