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Stadium Background

Berwick vs Musselburgh

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Robinson A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Berwick
30%
Draws
29%
Musselburgh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Berwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Berwick have won more games recently than Musselburgh.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Berwick Clean Sheet 13%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Musselburgh
Matches Played 33 21
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Musselburgh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 30 / 100
Musselburgh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Musselburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berwick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Attacking prowess: Berwick scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Berwick stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Musselburgh
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0
Hibernian B
Page 1 of 7

Musselburgh

(Away)
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
22 Aug
Musselburgh
2 : 2
Boness United
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 8 8 0 0 17:4 24
2 Hill Of Beath 9 7 0 2 14:10 21
3 Linlithgow Rose 9 6 1 2 25:11 19
4 Brechin 8 6 1 1 17:10 19
5 Broxburn Athletic 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
8 Civil Service Strollers 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
9 Boness United 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
10 East Stirlingshire 9 3 1 5 13:19 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 8 1 1 6 6:17 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 9 1 0 8 9:24 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 10 8 0 2 31:13 24
2 Largs Thistle 10 7 1 2 14:9 22
3 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
4 Pollok 9 6 2 1 21:12 20
5 Auchinleck Talbot 10 6 1 3 31:12 19
6 Cumnock Juniors 9 5 2 2 25:14 17
7 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
8 Caledonian Braves 9 5 1 3 26:21 16
9 Johnstone Burgh 9 4 3 2 19:14 15
10 Troon FC 10 4 0 6 18:19 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Albion Rovers 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Beith 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
14 Renfrew 9 2 1 6 16:26 7
15 Gretna 2008 10 2 1 7 20:32 7
16 Newton Stewart 8 1 1 6 9:32 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 9 0 1 8 5:30 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)