Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berwick vs Stranraer

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Shielfield Park, Berwick
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McCrone C.
4' Event
Foster R.
Assist: Cameron C.
58' Event
Somers K.
Assist: Nelson R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Berwick
15%
Draws
48%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Stranraer have won more games recently than Berwick.
  • Model gives Stranraer a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Stranraer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Berwick, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Stranraer
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Berwick vs Stranraer
3:2
Jul 20, 2019 League Cup
Stranraer vs Berwick
6:0
May 5, 2012 League Two
Berwick vs Stranraer
1:0
Mar 3, 2012 League Two
Stranraer vs Berwick
1:3
Jan 14, 2012 League Two
Berwick vs Stranraer
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berwick Compare

Top Goalscorer McCrone C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Somers K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunne E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 18 / 100
Stranraer 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Berwick found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Stranraer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Berwick stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Stranraer
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0
Hibernian B
Page 1 of 7

Stranraer

(Away)
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
05 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Stranraer
01 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 4
Celtic B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterhead 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 Clydebank FC 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
3 Alloa 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
4 East Kilbride 4 3 1 0 14:8 10
5 Stirling 4 3 1 0 11:6 10
6 Edinburgh City 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
7 Elgin City 4 3 0 1 13:2 9
8 Cove Rangers 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
9 Ross County 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
10 Airdrieonians 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
11 Montrose 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
12 Hearts B 4 3 0 1 15:12 9
13 Queen of the South 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
14 Celtic B 4 2 2 0 12:9 8
15 East Fife 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
16 Aberdeen B 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
17 Berwick 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
18 St. Mirren B 4 2 0 2 10:6 6
19 Rangers B 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
20 Formartine Utd 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
21 Hamilton 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
22 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 12:12 6
23 Bonnyrigg Rose 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
24 Annan 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
25 Spartans 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
26 Kilmarnock B 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
27 Dumbarton 4 1 1 2 7:13 4
28 Banks O' Dee 4 1 1 2 4:11 4
29 Stranraer 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
30 Clachnacuddin 4 1 0 3 7:9 3
31 Dundee Utd B 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
32 Cumbernauld Colts 4 0 2 2 2:9 2
33 Forfar Athletic 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
34 Gala Fairydean Rovers 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
35 Fraserburgh 4 0 1 3 1:15 1
36 Cowdenbeath 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
37 Dundee FC B 4 0 0 4 4:12 0
38 Hibernian B 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
39 Clyde 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
40 Motherwell B 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)