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Berwick vs Tranent FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Binnie G.
Assist: McCrystal B.
29' Event
Aitchison N.
Assist: Doan C.
61' Event
Girdwood H.
Assist: Brett D.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Berwick and Tranent FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tranent FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Berwick
20%
Draws
61%
Tranent FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Berwick haven't matched Tranent FC's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Tranent FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Tranent FC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Tranent FC
1:2
Apr 7, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Tranent FC
0:0
Jul 29, 2025 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Berwick
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Lowland League
Berwick vs Tranent FC
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Berwick
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berwick Compare

Top Goalscorer Binnie G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tranent FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aitchison N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Girdwood H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 10 / 100
Tranent FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Tranent FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranent FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berwick found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Tranent FC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Berwick remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Tranent FC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
Page 1 of 7

Tranent FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
29 Aug
Tranent FC
4 : 0
Civil Service Strollers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)