Sport Picks

North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Gradski stadion Gostivar

Besa 1976

2 - 1

Brera Strumica

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Neziri M.

16'

Sub

Siljanovski G. In: Rexhepi A.

Out: Siljanovski G.

23'

Velkov A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Besa 1976 in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besa 1976.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Besa 1976

40%

Draws

29%

Brera Strumica

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Besa 1976 have won more games recently than Brera Strumica.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular 1. MFL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 20%

Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Besa 1976	Brera Strumica
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	11	10
Draws	4	11
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 1. MFL

Besa 1976 vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 27, 2024 1. MFL

Besa 1976 vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Oct 23, 2024 Macedonian Cup

Brera Strumica vs Besa 1976

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Sep 15, 2024 1. MFL

Brera Strumica vs Besa 1976

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Besa 1976 vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa 1976 Compare

Top Goalscorer Neziri M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stojanovski V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Brera Strumica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjorgievski M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa 1976 32 / 100

Brera Strumica 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Besa 1976 Brera Strumica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brera Strumica conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Besa 1976 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Besa 1976 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Brera Strumica

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shkendija Tetovo	33	20	10	3	59:30	70
2	Sileks	33	19	10	4	57:19	67
3	Rabotnicki	33	15	11	7	38:21	56
4	Struga	33	13	12	8	41:37	51
5	Vardar	33	12	9	12	39:37	45
6	Pelister	33	10	9	14	26:38	39
7	Shkupi	33	10	8	15	47:47	38
8	Tikves	33	7	13	13	25:33	34
9	Brera Strumica	33	9	7	17	41:56	34
10	Besa 1976	33	9	6	18	34:53	33
11	KF Gostivar	33	12	12	9	36:34	21
12	Voska Sport	33	5	7	21	25:63	-5