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Besa Peja vs Istogu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2025/2026
Besa Peja Logo

Besa Peja

3 - 0
FT
Istogu Logo

Istogu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2025/2026 game between Besa Peja and Istogu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besa Peja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Besa Peja
30%
Draws
41%
Istogu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Istogu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Besa Peja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Besa Peja taking it.
  • Regular Liga e Pare 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Besa Peja Clean Sheet 20%
Istogu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Peja Istogu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga e Pare
Istogu vs Besa Peja
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Istogu
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Liga e Pare
Istogu vs Besa Peja
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga e Pare
Istogu vs Besa Peja
2:2
Nov 23, 2024 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Istogu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa Peja 36 / 100
Istogu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Peja Istogu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Istogu conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Besa Peja scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Besa Peja went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besa Peja VS Istogu
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa Peja

(Home)
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Besa Peja
1 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Besa Peja
2 : 3
Ramiz Sadiku
05 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 0
Besa Peja
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Istogu

(Away)
03 Oct
Rilindja
0 : 2
Istogu
26 Sept
Vjosa
1 : 1
Istogu
19 Sept
Istogu
1 : 2
Trepca 89
13 Sept
Ferizaj
2 : 0
Istogu
05 Sept
Istogu
1 : 0
Liria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vushtrria 34 22 9 3 62:26 75
2 Feronikeli 34 22 8 4 59:22 74
3 Liria 34 21 8 5 60:29 71
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 34 22 5 7 61:39 71
5 Trepca 89 34 20 10 4 72:33 70
6 Vellaznimi 34 21 7 6 58:32 70
7 Ramiz Sadiku 34 14 8 12 39:29 50
8 Suhareka 34 13 5 16 60:61 44
9 Tefik Canga 34 12 4 18 48:54 40
10 2 Korriku 34 11 6 17 52:64 39
11 Besa Peja 33 9 8 16 39:52 35
12 Vjosa 34 9 8 17 39:61 35
13 Trepca Mitrovice 34 9 7 18 49:62 34
14 Kika 34 9 6 19 25:43 33
15 Istogu 34 7 11 16 47:60 32
16 Rilindja 34 8 8 18 34:61 32
17 Kek-U 33 4 9 20 25:63 21
18 Prizreni 34 3 11 20 28:66 20
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