Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besa vs Chur

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2024/2025
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cekaj G.
88'
Jonuzi S.
88'
Jonuzi S.

AI Match Summary

Besa in this Swiss Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Besa
25%
Draws
35%
Chur
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Besa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chur have won more games recently than Besa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Chur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Besa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Besa Clean Sheet 10%
Chur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Chur
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 1 19
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 3 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Swiss Cup
Besa vs Chur
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cekaj G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chur Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa 29 / 100
Chur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Chur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Chur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Chur has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Besa VS Chur
1 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa

(Home)
13 Sept
Besa
1 : 6
Biel
17 Aug
Besa
1 : 0
Chur

Chur

(Away)
17 Aug
Besa
1 : 0
Chur
31 May
Chur
4 : 3
Lugano II
24 May
Winterthur II
4 : 1
Chur
17 May
Chur
1 : 3
Hongg
11 May
Muri
2 : 2
Chur
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Suhr 0
Aarau 4
Mendrisio 1
Luzern 4
Monthey 4
Solothurn 3
Lancy 3
Etoile-Carouge 4
FC Ursy 0
Stade Nyonnais 6
Subingen 0
Basel 8
Zurich City SC 0
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Delemont 1
Sion 2
Schattdorf 0
Paradiso 1
AC Malcantone 0
St. Gallen 4
Dardania St. Gallen 1
Gambarogno - Contone 2
Kriens 1
Bellinzona 2
Taverne 1
Wil 3
Wettswil-Bonstetten 1
Winterthur 2
Aemme 2
Haute-Ajoie 1
Champel 0
Lausanne 7
Wallbach-Zeiningen 0
Langenthal 2
Echallens 1
Lausanne Ouchy 6
Besa 1
Chur 0
Biel 2
Xamax 1
Emmen 3
Altstatten 2
Dardania Lausanne 0
Yverdon 3
Rapperswil-Jona 3
Baden 1
Bruhl SG 1
Lugano 7
Schwyz 0
Thun 6
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 9
CS Le Locle 2
Prishtina Bern 1
Zug 0
Zurich 2
Tuggen 0
Schaffhausen 2
Bernex 1
Servette 7
Genolier-Begnins 1
Vevey 3
Printse-Nendaz 0
Young Boys 10
1/16-finals
Aarau 1
Luzern 0
Monthey 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 1
Young Fellows Juventus 0
Sion 2
Paradiso 1
St. Gallen 3
Gambarogno - Contone 1
Bellinzona 2
Wil 2
Winterthur 3
Aemme 0
Lausanne 4
Langenthal 1
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Besa 1
Biel 6
Emmen 1
Yverdon 2
Rapperswil-Jona 1
Lugano 3
Thun 0
Grasshoppers 2
CS Le Locle 0
Zurich 3
Schaffhausen 2
Servette 1
Vevey 2
Young Boys 4
1/8-finals
Aarau 0
Etoile-Carouge 1
Basel 3
Sion 2
St. Gallen 0
Bellinzona 1
Winterthur 0
Lausanne 3
Langenthal 0
Biel 6
Yverdon 0
Lugano 2
Grasshoppers 0
Zurich 1
Schaffhausen 0
Young Boys 1
Quarter-finals
Etoile-Carouge 1
Basel 3
Bellinzona 1
Lausanne 2
Biel 2
Lugano 0
Zurich 2
Young Boys 3
Semi-finals
Basel 3
Lausanne 2
Biel 1
Young Boys 0
Final
Basel 4
Biel 1