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Besat Kermanshah vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Daghdar M.

AI Match Summary

Besat Kermanshah in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besat Kermanshah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Besat Kermanshah
11%
Draws
80%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kara Gostar Shabestar lately — more wins on the board than Besat Kermanshah.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Kara Gostar Shabestar taking it.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 20%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besat Kermanshah Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Besat Kermanshah
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Besat Kermanshah
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Top Goalscorer Daghdar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besat Kermanshah 12 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besat Kermanshah Kara Gostar Shabestar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Besat Kermanshah's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kara Gostar Shabestar conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Besat Kermanshah stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besat Kermanshah VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618